Digest for alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox@googlegroups.com - 18 updates in 8 topics

Friday, May 5, 2017

nate <greystone@net1plus.com>: May 04 07:37PM -0700

sometimes you get lemonade.....
 
 
- nate
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 05 02:53AM -0700

Pretty bad when your stats crap is better then your 4 words sentences you normally post.
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 01:13PM -0700

You had Sale throwing 98 behind Manny back.
You had a Barnes bean Manny in the head
You had The queer Betts hit the ribs- all fast balls.
 
O's pitcher thew one over Bennie the bum head..
 
But the pitcher that gets tossed is a guy who threw a curve ball at the waist..
 
Pure Bullshit..
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 01:09PM -0700

Needs reconstruction in the knee.
 
Aka he sucked this year and he needs a break...I think he's done as a Nation member..
bmoore@nyx.net: May 04 10:10AM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 3:38:39 AM UTC-7, dcp7 wrote:
> He put more input then you pos.trash.
 
The racism problem is real but this idiot is just trolling. You're very rude.
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 12:23PM -0700

> On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 3:38:39 AM UTC-7, dcp7 wrote:
> > He put more input then you pos.trash.
 
> The racism problem is real but this idiot is just trolling. You're very rude.
 
Your Mom is a idiot .
Who are you to say the person was posting for the sake of conversation.
You dope ass white asshole seems to think your the authority on who posts real shit.
 
I guess you think that stats crap is good !!
bmoore@nyx.net: May 04 12:26PM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 12:23:59 PM UTC-7, dcp7 wrote:
 
> Your Mom is a idiot .
> Who are you to say the person was posting for the sake of conversation.
> You dope ass white asshole seems to think your the authority on who posts real shit.
 
Notice he posted it twice. Clear sign of a troll.
 
What's your problem, man?
 
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 01:05PM -0700

He could post it 3 times so fuck off you don't like it move on ,nobody needs a comment from some jackass who thinks he the troll police ..
 
Who are you?
What have you posted ?
Sue Robbins <email@domain.com>: May 04 12:00PM -0600

If he does good, I hope Wright stays in Pawtucket for rehab after he
recuperates. <fingers crossed>
nate <greystone@net1plus.com>: May 04 11:03AM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 2:00:03 PM UTC-4, Sue Robbins wrote:
> If he does good, I hope Wright stays in Pawtucket for rehab after he
> recuperates. <fingers crossed>
 
I'm hoping Price gets activated first.
 
 
- nate
Sue Robbins <email@domain.com>: May 04 01:28PM -0600

On 2017-05-04 18:03:57 +0000, nate said:
 
>> recuperates. <fingers crossed>
 
> I'm hoping Price gets activated first.
 
> - nate
 
Well.... very true. I just don't want to see Wright again. ;-)
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 01:02PM -0700

Hey Transgender dipshit.
You didn't want to see Panda or Hanley either..
 
You so called fans can suck a fat dick,in your case who knows if you like that.
 
Did the Tax payers pony up for your freak change operation???
Donald Violette <donfrombarre@gmail.com>: May 04 10:26AM -0700

FIRST WHAT MAY SOUND LIKE A STUPID QUESTION: WHAT IS A CHANGE UP? I ASSUME IT'S A SLOWER FAST BALL. BUT IF THAT'S TRUE WOULDN'T THAT MAKE IT EASIER TO HIT? OR DOES IT BEING SLOWER MAKE IT BREAK LIKE A CURVE BALL?
NOW THE COMMENTS: IMHO THE UMPIRE OVER REACTED BY EJECTING THE THE O's STARTER FOR HITTING BOGIE WITH A BREAKING PITCH. AND THERE WILL BE NO OFFENSIVE + OR - BECAUSE NO HITTER CAME CLOSE TO MY CRITERIA FOR EITHER.
 
NOW TO THE ONLY TWO GRADES I AM GIVING:
THOUGH IT WASN'T A QUALITY START POMERANZ GETS A + FOR GIVING UP JUST 2 RUNS AND K'ING 7
AND FOR WHIFFING ALL THREE OF THE MEN HE FACED KIMBRELL GETS A + TOO.
nate <greystone@net1plus.com>: May 04 10:59AM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 1:26:59 PM UTC-4, Donald Violette wrote:
> FIRST WHAT MAY SOUND LIKE A STUPID QUESTION: WHAT IS A CHANGE UP? I ASSUME IT'S A SLOWER FAST BALL. BUT IF THAT'S TRUE WOULDN'T THAT MAKE IT EASIER TO HIT? OR DOES IT BEING SLOWER MAKE IT BREAK LIKE A CURVE BALL?
 
A change-up is a pitch to fool the hitter into thinking it's a fastball by the arm delivery, so he swings way too early. This is different, say, from Bill Lee's eephus pitch - which is a very different, obvious delivery, but can be effective because the hitters are playing at a fastball pace and not used to trying to match the timing.
 
Timing is huge in hitting. Hitters will use a funny term sometimes by saying the pitch is a yard slower. Sometimes when a 100mph reliever comes in, they'll say he's a yard faster.
 
 
- nate
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 04 12:27PM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 1:26:59 PM UTC-4, Donald Violette wrote:
 
> NOW TO THE ONLY TWO GRADES I AM GIVING:
> THOUGH IT WASN'T A QUALITY START POMERANZ GETS A + FOR GIVING UP JUST 2 RUNS AND K'ING 7
> AND FOR WHIFFING ALL THREE OF THE MEN HE FACED KIMBRELL GETS A + TOO.
 
I'm surprised Ape Nate knew what a change-up was...
 
Shocking ..
Kimbrel u stupid disable pos..
Gawd so fucking idiot.
Pearly Soames <pearlysoames99@gmail.com>: May 04 11:56AM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 8:31:04 AM UTC-4, Sue Robbins wrote:
> gone. Now I didn't see the game and maybe a warning was already
> issued, but it doesn't seem balanced from the perspective of not seeing
> the games.
 
To quote Caleb Joseph: "Malarkey!" There had been no warning and it seemed completely unintentional to me.
Pearly Soames <pearlysoames99@gmail.com>: May 04 12:02PM -0700

On Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 2:56:36 PM UTC-4, Pearly Soames wrote:
> > issued, but it doesn't seem balanced from the perspective of not seeing
> > the games.
 
> To quote Caleb Joseph: "Malarkey!" There had been no warning and it seemed completely unintentional to me.
 
https://streamable.com/m94pp
nate <greystone@net1plus.com>: May 04 11:03AM -0700

Seems the teams are beginning to settle down the noise in the signal.
View in fixed font!
Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
 
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
 
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 WSN 1101 720 611 .848611 .861 101 .844389
2 2 NYY 1046 679 563 .829161 .824 105 .808938
3 4 CIN 1064 724 551 .761050 .759 100 .761050
4 6 CHC 1093 731 544 .744186 .759 97 .755519
5 3 ARI 1164 763 595 .779817 .772 107 .753446
6 5 MIL 1082 745 564 .757047 .776 101 .753281
7 7 HOU 1093 748 531 .709893 .785 93 .735640
8 9 DET 1033 705 497 .704965 .750 97 .715701
9 11 SEA 1105 755 529 .700662 .730 96 .714961
10 8 MIN 974 658 464 .705167 .737 98 .712290
11 13 TBR 1141 779 538 .690629 .726 96 .704723
12 12 PHI 996 693 482 .695527 .740 98 .702553
13 15 STL 1009 694 479 .690202 .738 98 .697174
14 14 ATL 1023 704 486 .690341 .750 100 .690341
15 17 LAD 1115 771 520 .674449 .729 96 .688213
16 18 NYM 1070 760 510 .671053 .722 97 .681272
17 20 MIA 1027 724 470 .649171 .709 95 .665816
18 16 CLE 1049 718 494 .688022 .735 111 .652154
19 19 PIT 1055 728 477 .655220 .710 101 .651960
20 22 OAK 994 711 448 .630098 .692 94 .649586
21 10 COL 1060 747 526 .704150 .747 118 .646009
22 21 BAL 994 706 453 .641643 .690 102 .635290
23 24 SDP 1078 782 481 .615090 .665 96 .627643
24 25 LAA 1122 795 484 .608805 .678 96 .621230
25 23 TEX 1058 753 472 .626826 .694 106 .608569
26 27 CHW 974 698 416 .595989 .666 96 .608152
27 26 BOS 1019 710 431 .607042 .714 108 .583694
28 28 TOR 1094 784 464 .591837 .669 103 .583091
29 29 SFG 1111 798 456 .571429 .641 97 .580131
30 30 KCR 958 709 377 .531735 .615 103 .523877
totals: 31702 21992 14913 .678110
 
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
 
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 5 CLE 1015 714 447 .626050 .706 111 .593412
2 1 NYY 975 693 422 .608947 .669 105 .594095
3 2 KCR 1002 699 426 .609442 .671 103 .600435
4 4 BOS 1018 723 452 .625173 .685 108 .601128
5 12 COL 1077 753 510 .677291 .737 118 .621368
6 3 LAD 1081 774 476 .614987 .686 96 .627538
7 7 MIN 956 666 425 .638138 .698 98 .644584
8 6 CHW 970 692 438 .632948 .694 96 .645865
9 14 ARI 1116 774 527 .680879 .704 107 .657854
10 9 LAA 1097 781 508 .650448 .717 96 .663722
11 10 TBR 1098 770 501 .650649 .705 96 .663928
12 8 HOU 1083 768 495 .644531 .692 93 .667908
13 11 SFG 1137 782 516 .659847 .703 97 .669895
14 18 TEX 1075 746 516 .691689 .747 106 .671543
15 17 BAL 1044 706 485 .686969 .740 102 .680167
16 16 WSN 1053 734 502 .683924 .732 101 .680521
17 15 CHC 1042 726 495 .681818 .722 97 .692201
18 13 OAK 1039 707 479 .677511 .698 94 .698465
19 21 PIT 1077 720 507 .704167 .732 101 .700664
20 19 STL 1027 699 485 .693848 .735 98 .700857
21 22 ATL 1008 689 487 .706821 .762 100 .706821
22 26 TOR 1125 767 553 .720991 .767 103 .710336
23 20 MIA 1032 708 492 .694915 .735 95 .712733
24 24 PHI 979 685 489 .713869 .767 98 .721080
25 23 SEA 1078 742 529 .712938 .763 96 .727488
26 27 NYM 1121 757 546 .721268 .752 97 .732252
27 25 SDP 1113 764 549 .718586 .741 96 .733251
28 28 CIN 1065 726 533 .734160 .750 100 .734160
29 30 MIL 1122 755 572 .757616 .801 101 .753847
30 29 DET 1077 716 534 .745810 .773 97 .757168
totals: 31702 21936 14896 .679066
hitting: 31702 21992 14913 .678110

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | Hou | |
| | | Wsn |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+------NYY-----+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | Bal | | |
| | | Col | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | Ari | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | Bos| 3 | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | * | | |
| | | | |
| | ** | * | |
| | | | |
0.5 +--------------+--------------2--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | ** | |
| | | | |
| | * * | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | 2 | | |
| | Sea | |
| | Atl| | |
| | SDP Oak | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | Tex | | |
| | SFG | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------+---KCR--------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| Tor | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6
 
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.63955*X + -0.816937
R-squared = 0.626951 significance = 6.859824

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.947358*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.500378
R-squared = 0.616204 significance = 6.704877

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.955847*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500765
R-squared = 0.616955 significance = 6.715533

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.78332*X + -1.38975
R-squared = 0.639703 significance = 7.050798

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.28269*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.500534
R-squared = 0.634919 significance = 6.978199

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.28955*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500811
R-squared = 0.635103 significance = 6.980970

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.8213*X + -0.909907
R-squared = 0.514577 significance = 5.448084

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.90148*X + -0.949177
R-squared = 0.488573 significance = 5.171924

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.38372*X + -1.1901
R-squared = 0.567880 significance = 6.066043
 
 
- nate
You received this digest because you're subscribed to updates for this group. You can change your settings on the group membership page.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it send an email to alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.

0 comments:

Post a Comment