Digest for alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox@googlegroups.com - 4 updates in 3 topics

Thursday, May 11, 2017

nate <greystone@net1plus.com>: May 10 01:13PM -0700

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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
 
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
 
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 WSN 1353 891 737 .827160 .840 100 .827160
2 3 CIN 1313 871 703 .807118 .792 100 .807118
3 2 NYY 1291 843 685 .812574 .820 106 .788907
4 4 MIL 1282 880 665 .755682 .779 102 .748200
5 9 HOU 1291 883 631 .714609 .788 94 .736710
6 7 SEA 1328 894 645 .721477 .754 96 .736201
7 6 CHC 1380 930 672 .722581 .735 97 .733585
8 8 STL 1284 872 627 .719037 .758 98 .726300
9 10 DET 1200 814 580 .712531 .749 97 .723382
10 13 LAD 1291 880 622 .706818 .756 96 .721243
11 14 PHI 1220 842 594 .705463 .755 97 .716206
12 12 MIN 1166 792 560 .707071 .739 99 .710624
13 5 ARI 1341 897 659 .734671 .744 107 .709827
14 15 TBR 1384 945 654 .692063 .722 96 .706187
15 16 NYM 1261 885 608 .687006 .727 97 .697468
16 19 OAK 1236 875 581 .664000 .714 94 .684536
17 22 MIA 1264 887 585 .659526 .722 95 .676437
18 17 BAL 1243 863 587 .680185 .719 102 .673450
19 21 ATL 1191 827 546 .660218 .725 100 .660218
20 18 BOS 1239 846 574 .678487 .761 107 .655543
21 11 COL 1296 906 644 .710817 .755 118 .652126
22 20 CLE 1232 855 565 .660819 .722 112 .623414
23 23 TEX 1305 928 591 .636853 .693 106 .618304
24 24 PIT 1269 890 550 .617978 .684 100 .617978
25 26 LAA 1350 964 576 .597510 .675 95 .612831
26 25 SDP 1268 921 553 .600434 .654 97 .609578
27 27 CHW 1166 835 492 .589222 .664 96 .601247
28 28 TOR 1259 916 522 .569869 .657 103 .561447
29 29 SFG 1282 933 513 .549839 .624 97 .558212
30 30 KCR 1194 877 474 .540479 .618 102 .535128
totals: 38179 26442 17995 .680546
 
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
 
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 CLE 1180 843 498 .590747 .677 112 .557308
2 3 NYY 1203 852 513 .602113 .658 106 .584576
3 9 COL 1309 921 602 .653637 .711 118 .599667
4 2 LAD 1228 885 524 .592090 .662 96 .604173
5 4 KCR 1247 870 538 .618391 .684 102 .612268
6 8 BOS 1219 854 556 .651054 .712 107 .629038
7 10 BAL 1279 877 577 .657925 .723 102 .651411
8 6 TBR 1338 941 608 .646121 .702 96 .659307
9 7 CHW 1161 818 529 .646699 .699 96 .659897
10 5 HOU 1270 904 582 .643805 .693 94 .663716
11 14 TEX 1317 911 625 .686059 .746 106 .666077
12 11 LAA 1336 948 625 .659283 .732 95 .676188
13 20 ARI 1311 900 632 .702222 .724 107 .678475
14 12 STL 1272 876 591 .674658 .729 98 .681473
15 13 WSN 1295 902 618 .685144 .736 100 .685144
16 19 TOR 1312 899 630 .700779 .748 103 .690423
17 22 PIT 1316 881 623 .707151 .738 100 .707151
18 15 OAK 1287 875 602 .688000 .702 94 .709278
19 23 CIN 1289 888 630 .709459 .736 100 .709459
20 17 CHC 1340 924 646 .699134 .730 97 .709781
21 21 MIN 1180 801 566 .706617 .748 99 .710168
22 16 SEA 1284 889 621 .698538 .747 96 .712794
23 18 MIA 1265 861 603 .700348 .729 95 .718306
24 24 NYM 1318 892 644 .721973 .755 97 .732968
25 25 SDP 1326 905 654 .722652 .751 97 .733657
26 27 ATL 1192 809 599 .740420 .784 100 .740420
27 30 MIL 1316 888 665 .748874 .795 102 .741459
28 26 SFG 1352 904 661 .731195 .751 97 .742330
29 28 PHI 1206 834 618 .741007 .782 97 .752291
30 29 DET 1231 821 609 .741778 .768 97 .753074
totals: 38179 26373 17989 .682099
hitting: 38179 26442 17995 .680546

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | * | |
| | | | * |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | *| |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
| | | * * | |
+--------------+--------------+---------*----+--------------+
| | | | |
| | * 2 | |
| | * |** | |
| | | | |
0.5 +--------------+----------*---+--------------+--------------+
| | * | | |
| | * | * | |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
+--------------+-----------*--+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | * * | | |
| | ** | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| |* | | |
| | ** | | |
| * | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| * | | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6
 
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.65294*X + -0.823003
R-squared = 0.729322 significance = 8.685841

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.981645*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.501215
R-squared = 0.726149 significance = 8.616585

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.983691*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.501772
R-squared = 0.723999 significance = 8.570234

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.65964*X + -1.32775
R-squared = 0.699715 significance = 8.077426

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.26774*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.500668
R-squared = 0.699797 significance = 8.078990

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.26936*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.501103
R-squared = 0.697603 significance = 8.037004

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.78962*X + -0.8935
R-squared = 0.501147 significance = 5.303656

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.11551*X + -1.05632
R-squared = 0.503155 significance = 5.324994

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.27114*X + -1.13354
R-squared = 0.705219 significance = 8.184490
 
 
- nate
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 10 01:07PM -0700

Benintendi Benintendi
 
I try to help you on Kimbrel..you did write his name correct once or twice and now your back to mangle punch..
Donald Violette <donfrombarre@gmail.com>: May 10 09:22AM -0700

ONLY COMMENT FIRST: FOR A LOSS IT WILL BE A STRANGE GAME TO GRADE BECAUSE IT WILL NOT ONLY INCLUDE MORE THAN ONE HITTING + BUT A HITTING STAR OF THE GAME.
 
ON TO THE BIZZARE GRADES;
BETTS IS THE STAR OF THE GAME FOR THE 4 HITS
ANDREW GETS A + FOR THE 4 HITS AND 2 RIBBIES.
MORELAND GETS A - FOR THE 0-4 WITH 4 LOB
YOUNG GETS A - FOR HIS O-S WITH 4 LOB
AND ALL THE PITCHERS HOW PITCHED IN THIS DEBACLE ARE GOATS FOR GIVING UP 11 RUNS.
 
ONE FINAL COMMENT: WHEN YOU CONSIDER HOW HE PITCHED LAST TIME WITH KENDRICK STARTINGTONIGHT I DON'T HOLD OUT MUCH HOPE FORA WIN TONIGHT EITHER.
dcp7 <mrdls437@yahoo.com>: May 10 11:11AM -0700

Thank God you listen and stop trying to spell Bennie last name.
 
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